Tuesday, February 19, 2013

2013 NFL Mock Draft: Pre Combine

Follow me on Twitter @BrianSanchezDU
Like My Facebook page The Sports Report

1. Kansas City Chiefs- QB Geno Smith, West Virginia
Do I think Geno Smith is the best player in the draft? No. Do I think he's good enough to be the numer one overall pick? No. Heck, I'm not even sure he's the best QB in the draft. What I do know is that the Chiefs are QB desperate and Geno Smith is the mobile kind of QB the league is falling in love with. If the Chiefs trade for Alex Smith or Nick Foles, then I think they go with Joeckel here.

Other Options:
1. Luke Joeckel- Brandon Albert is decent, often hurt, and expensive. If the Chiefs can find another QB they can take a LT starter from day 1.

2. Star Lotulelei- The Chiefs defensive line is terrible, if they can find a LT and QB elsewhere, Star makes sense.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars- DE Bjoern Werner, Florida St.
The Jaguars need Pretty much everything. Perhaps the main problem is the pass rush. When you look at the sack leaders this last season, they look like this: J.J. Watt 20.5 sacks, Jax Jags 20 sacks, Aldon Smith 19.5 sacks. That's embarrassing. They need someone who can get after the QB. It is difficult to get QB pressure from the DE position instead of a LB, so if you can draft that, get on it. That's what Werner represents. As a true DE he can both rush the passer and play the run.

Other Options:
1. Star Lotulelei- The Jags may want to increase the productivity inside instead of outside, especially with Terrance Knighton being a FA.

2. Damontre Moore- Just another pass rushing option for the Jags if they grade him out higher.

3. Oakland Raiders- DT Star Lotulelei, Utah
The Raiders have a great chance to be smart and get better. They are as soft as they come up the middle on defense, and in todays passing NFL, if you can't even stop the run, you are basically dead in the water. Lotulelei can play all along the defensive line and has the ability to take up multiple blockers and open holes for LB's, stop the run, and collapse the pocket with a strong pass rush.

Other Options:
1. Bjoern Werner- The Raiders really need D-line help, and if Lotulelei goes first they should jump on Werner

2. Geno Smith- The Raiders are reportedly high on Smith, and it would give them a chance to try a dual threat QB and cut Carson Palmer and that ridiculous contract.

4. Philadelphia Eagles- OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
LT Jason Peters missed last season with a torn achilles, but when he is healthy he is very good. The Eagles also start a guy in Todd Hermanns at RT even though he is really a guard. The Eagles need a better line whether it's Vick or Foles under center. Joeckel is No. 2 on my big board and can either start at LT or RT from day one.

Other Options:
1. Staar Lotulelei- If he makes it this far, the Eagles should take a serious look at finally getting stronger along their D-line

2. Eric Fisher- If Joeckel is gone and they really want a LT, Fisher may just be worth pick number four.

5. Detroit Lions- DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M 
The Lions already cut DE Kyle Vanden Bosch and are probably losing DE Cliff Avril. The are going to need a DE in a bad way, and even if they keep Avril they'll still have a hole across from him. Damontre Moore is a very good pass rusher off the edge and has good size for a 4-3 DE.

Other Options:
1. Bjoern Werner- While i'm skeptical that he would actually make it this far, there is no way the Lions could pass him up.

2. Dee Milliner- The Lions are in serious need of CB help and Milliner is the best available.

6. Cleveland Browns- OLB Dion Jordan, Oregon
The Browns are shifting in to a 3-4 defense and they are actually pretty well equipped for the change. The one thing they are missing is a 3-4 OLB opposite of Jabal Sheard. That also correlates with their need for a better pass rush. at 6'7" Jordan still has the athletic ability to be a stand up OLB and he has shown some decent covering skills.

Other Options:
1. Barkevious Mingo- Another option to fill the hole at OLB

2. Dee Milliner- Would look mighty good in a Browns uniform across from Joe Haden.

7. Arizona Cardinals- OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan
Whoever the Cardinals start at QB needs protection and the Cardinals O-line is in the debate for worst in the league. Eric Fisher set the Senior Bowl ablaze by stopping every pass rusher that came his way dead in their tracks. He is a starting LT from day one and that is a commodity the Cardinals can't afford to pass up.

Other Options:
1. Tyler Wilson- The Cardinals may decide that they are in need of a QB and will take one at this pick despite the value.

2. Mike Glennon- Seriously, if the Cardinals don't get a LT it's going to be a QB

8. Buffalo Bills- QB Tyler Wilson, Arkansas
This honestly may not be as big of a reach as people think. The Bills love high character leaders with strong college track records. That sounds like Wilson to me. Wilson's team was so inept at Arkansas that I think they made him look bad. I have a feeling Wilson may be the best QB in this draft. The Bills need one, so they'll take one.

Other Options:
1. Mike Glennon- If the Bills don't like Wilson they can take their QB in Glennon

2. Cordarrelle Patterson- The Bills could use a game breaker across from Stevie Johnson and Patterson would fill that need.

9. New York Jets- DE/OLB Barkevious Mingo, LSU

If they Jets want to return to the playoffs they'll need a defense that can carry Mark Sanchez. That's how they used to do it, and they need to go back to that. Mingo is an uber athletic pass rusher who can play all over the defense. Rex Ryan will love the opportunity to line him up all over the field and let him pin his ears back.

Other Options:
1. Dion Jordan- Another versatile pass rusher if Mingo goes in Jordan's spot earlier.

2. Dee Milliner- If Revis and/or Cromartie leave the team they could look for Milliner to step in and start right away. 

10. Tennessee Titans- CB Dee Milliner, Alabama

The Titans have a couple of starting CB's in place but one of them, Alterraun Verner is entering his contract year. Milliner is number six on my big board and the Titans will see that they need more corners and Milliner can challenge to be a starter for day one. The Titans were ranked 24th in passing defense so they do need help.

Other Options:
1. Kenny Vaccaro- They could use the help at safety and Kenny is the best one in the draft.

2. Chance Warmack- Help CJ2k out by giving him the best player in the draft to block for him.

11. San Diego Chargers- OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma

I do think this is a reach, but I don't know that the Chargers can do anything else. The Chargers O-line is horrendous. Philip Rivers may not be very good anymore, but we'll never know behind that line. There are better guards available, but I think the Chargers should swing for the fences. Johnson is incredibly athletic for a LT and the Chargers have to hope he pans out.

Other Options:
1. Jarvis Jones- Could replace Shaun Phillips at OLB

2. Johnathan Hankins- A new NT wouldn't be the worst thing in the world for the Chargers.

12. Miami Dolphins- WR Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee

The Dolphins need some help in their defensive backfield but they need even more help with their wide outs. Patterson is the best WR in this class. He has great size, good speed, and exceptional hands. HC Joe Philbin is an offensive guy and he likes what he has in Tannehill. Having no receivers will stunt his growth, so help the kid out.

Other Options:
1. Kenny Vaccaro- The Dolphins need a safety and Vaccaro would start from day one.

2. Sharrif Floyd- WIth Starks a free agent and Odrick out of favor, a dynamic DT could be on the menu for Miami

                               13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- CB Xavier Rhodes, Florida St.

Bucs HC Greg Schiano loves physicality and toughness. The Bucs also desperately need a CB. They score both here with Xavier rhodes who is a big physical cover corner that likes to press at the line of scrimmage and body up on receivers.

Other Options:
1. Johnathan Banks- I really think the Bucs should take a CB and Banks is just another option.

2. Chance Warmack- The Bucs are becoming an excellent running team and Warmack would help take them to the next level.

                                      14. Carolina Panthers- DT Sharriff Floyd, Florida

Year in and year out it seems like the Panthers need a DT. Well, this is the draft to finally get one. Floyd has a great chance of shooting up boards after the combine. He is a DT that can get penetration at the point of attack and should instantly shore up the middle of the Panthers D-line.

Other Options:
1. Sheldon Richardson- They need a DT and have multiple options here

2. Cordarrelle Patterson- If he's still here they should take a good look. He could be the number two they need and he could be the number one when Steve Smith leaves.

15. New Orleans Saints- OLB Jarvis Jones, Georgia

The Saints are switching to a 3-4 defense and are lacking two spots for it. One is nose tackle but it may be too soon to take one. The other is a rush line backer. Jarvis Jones has the talent of a top five pick, but he also has spinal stenosis. He was at USC before the doctors there advised him to give up football because of his condition. He transferred to Georgia and was a beast there, but did he chew up two years of health he can't get back? The Saints have to take that chance and swing for the fences.

Other Options:
1. Ezekiel Ansah- Another pass rushing option on the outside for the Saints

2. Johnathan Hankins- Brodrick Bunkley may not be a NT so they could look for a replacement.

16. St. Louis Rams- S Kenny Vaccaro, Texas

The Rams have already stated that they want to upgrade the safety position. They will certainly be thrilled to see Kenny Vaccaro available with their first, first round pick. This is a deep and talented draft for safeties, and Vaccaro is head and shoulders above all the rest. He is a sure tackler and a great cover safety. If the Rams want to improve the safety position, here is a starter from day one.

Other Options:
1. Chance Warmack- Jeff Fisher traditionally doesn't take O-linemen in the first round, but Warmack could be an exception to the rule.

2. Cordarrelle Patterson- If he some how makes it this far I think they should capitalize.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers- DE/OLB Ezekiel Ansah, BYU

This pick is really up in the air. If Casey Hampton is gone then they need a NT and there are a few available. They may fall in love with a corner like Johnathan Banks and upgrade that position. They are also losing James Harrison and I think the strength of the team is their front seven so that's what they have to focus on. Ansah is a huge physical Pass rusher who is athletic enough to stand up as a OLB and I think Pittsburgh will like him a lot.

Other Options:
1. Kenny Vaccaro- Clark and Polamalu are getting older and are always hurt, drafting Vaccaro is great value and adressing a need before it officially becomes one.

2. Jarvis Jones- If he falls this far because of the spinal stenosis the Steelers could draft James Harrison's successor.

18. Dallas Cowboys- DT Sheldon Richardson, Missouri

The Cowboys are transitioning to a 4-3 defense and need a lot of help on the defensive line. Anthony Spencer is a free agent and going to be expensive, while Jay Ratliff has now coupled his poor play since his huge contract extension with a DUI. The Cowboys can take the best D-linemen available and start him on day one.

Other Options:
1. Johnathan Hankins- They may grade Hankins out higher which would make him the pick here.

2. Alec Ogletree- One of the few prospects that has the physicality and speed to be an OLB in the 4-3.

19. New York Giants- LB Alec Ogletree, Georgia

The Giants have made it very clear that they want better play out of their linebackers next year, and I think it has to start in the middle. Chase Blackburn just isn't going to cut it. Ogletree has the speed and strength to be a do it all MLB that will start from day one.

Other Options:
1. Johnathan Hankins- Maybe they want to fix the interior line.

2. Eddie Lacey- One of the few chances a RB goes in the first round. Lacey and Wilson could be a nice one-two punch.

                                            20. Chicago Bears- OT DJ Fluker, Alabama

If the Bears want to get any better anytime soon they need to keep Jay Cutler clean. They need help all along the offensive line and while there is a better guard available, Fluker makes sense. He can start at RT day one, and if he progresses he can be the cornerstone LT. But even if he doesn't, they have a long time starting RT.

Other Options:
1. Chance Warmack- He plays inside but would still address the need along the O-line

2. Tyler Eifert- He can help in the blocking game with his huge size and Cutler could use a steady TE.

21. Cincinnati Bengals- S Eric Reid, LSU

The Bengals are a good team with few glaring holes. One of those holes is at middle linebacker, however with Ogletree gone they should address their serious need at safety. Reid is a large, athletic safety who can hit just as well as he can cover. The fact that he could succeed in the SEC just bolsters his resume that much more.

Other Options:
1. Manti Te'o- If Ogletree is gone and they want a MLB, Te'o may be the guy.

2. John Cyprien- Safety should seriously be in play here and Cyprien is one of those players shooting up draft boards.

22. St. Louis Rams- WR Keenan Allen, Cal

Brandon Gibson and Danny Amendola are free agents. Even if they lose both of them, their young nucleus of Chris Givens, Brian Quick, and Austin Pettis. Keenan Allen is one of my favorite wide outs in the draft. He is a day one starter and a possession receiver, which is what that receiving core needs. Sam Bradford will love having him.

Other Options:
1. Chance Warmack- He's still here if Fisher will go O-line

2. Arthur Brown- If through the combine the Rams can decide he can play OLB he's the guy here.

23. Minnesota Vikings- WR DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson

The Vikings may be losing Percy Harvin, they may not be. Either way they still need more dynamic wide outs. They need to take pressure off of Adrian Peterson as much as they need to help Christian Ponder as much as possible. Hopkins a steady receiver. No peaks and valleys, just a solid number two.

Other Options:
1. Johnathan Hankins- The Vikings could use some new D-linemen and Hankins fits the bill.

2. Terrance Williams- Another option for them at WR if they like him more than Hopkins.

24. Indianapolis Colts- OG Chance Warmack

You may think I'm crazy for slotting him this low. I agree with you, this is way too low for him. But I am not making these picks as if I were the GM, I am trying to predict what each team will do. I made that mistake last year with David DeCastro. He was one of the best players in the draft, but because he played guard he fell to the Steelers at 24 just like Warmack this year. The Colts need two things, a running game, and better blocking for Andrew Luck. Warmack is so good that even from the inside, he does both. Steal of the draft.

Other Options:
1. Jonathan Banks- They could use just about anything on defense and Banks can start for them at corner from day one.

2. John Jenkins- He has the potential to be a top flight NT and could help them stuff the run.

25. Seattle Seahawks- DL Jesse Williams, Alabama

This is a gut feeling pick for me. The Seahawks always go against the grain. They like physical, nasty, tough, kind of wacky guys, and that's what they get. They also like every one of their players to either be ridiculously fast, or incredibly strong. Williams is very, very strong and even fills a need on the interior D-line.

Other Options:
1. Terrance Williams- They could use some receivers for Russell Wilson to play with and Terrance Williams could blossom in to a star.

2. Johnathan Hankins- D-line is a strong probability for them, and if they like Hankins over Williams, they could take him.

26. Green Bay Packers- CB Jonathan Banks, Mississippi St.

This is a pure value pick here for the Packers, not to mention it helps their weaker side of the ball. They need a lot of work on defense but banks should be able to challenge to be a starter right away and would be a great tandem partner with Tramon Williams.

Other Options:
1. Desmond Trufant- Another CB option if that's the way they want to go.

2. John Cyprien- They could really use a safety and he is a good one.

27. Houston Texans- LB Arthur Brown, Kansas St.

Arthur Brown will fill a need for Houston at MLB. He is a bit undersized, but he is lightning quick and fierce. He reminds me a lot of Navorro Bowman in San Francisco. Bradie James is getting older and breaking down in Houston and Arthur Brown has the ability to fly around and make plays. He is a candidate to fly up draft boards after the combine.

Other Options:
1. Tavon Austin- If they like what the smaller playmaker can bring to the table, they can grab him.

2. Terrance Williams- A large WR prospect who they could put across from Andre Johnson.

28. Denver Broncos- CB Desmond Trufant, Washington

Champ Bailey looks like his time has finally come to a close. Tony Carter is a free agent and his future is up in the air. The defensive line needs to get stronger but not as badly as they need a CB. A great Senior Bowl shot Trufant all the way up to being a first round pick.

Other Options:
1. Blidi Wreh-Wilson- They could really use a CB and he's another option.

2. Johnathan Hankins-They've needed help on the interior for a while and he could be the answer.

29. New England Patriots- DT Johnathan Hankins, Ohio St.

The New England Patriots will take a long look at WR Tavon Austin here but decide they need a more physical WR and there isn't a good choice. They will then look at being better in the middle of their defensive line. Hankins represents versatility which is what New England loves in their defensive players. Hankins can play DT in the 4-3 and DE in the 3-4. If something were to happen to Wilfork, Hankins could even play NT.

Other Options:
1. Tavon Austin- He could be electric in the fast paced Patriots offense as both a RB and a WR.

2. Matt Elam- The Patriots could really use an enforcer in their secondary.

30. Atlanta Falcons- TE Zach Ertz, Stanford

Atlanta has very few holes. They would like to strengthen the defensive line, but now that Tony Gonzalez is gone, they have a hole they need to fill at TE first. Ertz is more of a pass catcher than a blocker, but he is a serious threat. He stretches the field and he has excellent hands. He's no Tony Gonzalez, but he can play.

Other Options:
1. Tyler Eifert- He is another option at TE to fill the hole left by Gonzalez.

2. Sam Montgomery- He can play the DE in their 4-3 which is where they need depth.

31. San Francisco 49ers- S John Cyprien, Florida International

The 49ers are as solid a team as there is. With Kaepernick leading this team, the offense can be dynamic. It's still tough to run on the 49ers but it is getting easier and easier to throw on them. The way this draft has fallen, there just isn't a good CB option here. They also need safety help, it's just hard to tell which safety spot they need. Donte Whitner is becoming a liablity at the strong safety, but he is under contract. FS Dashon Goldson is a free agent and will demand a huge contract, and the 49ers are determined to keep him. If they can keep Goldson, then they should draft John Cyprien out of Florida International to replace Whitner at SS. Cyprien hits hard and is very fluid and fast with the ability to cover. He will be a major upgrade at the safety position. There will be OLB prospects later in the draft, as well as good prospects at WR, DL, and CB, but I do think to cupboard will be bare at safety by the 49ers second round pick.

Other Options:
1. John Jenkins- NT Isaac Sopoaga is a free agent and wasn't getting that much push at the end of the season.

2. Tavon Austin- Once again the 49ers are weak at WR. They will have to pat Crabtree soon so they can't spend big on more wide outs. Austin is unbelievably quick and could take over punt and kick return duties with Ted Ginn Jr.  gone. A.J. Jenkins is still developing so the 49ers need a right now WR prospect.

32. Baltimore Ravens- ILB Manti Te'o, Notre Dame

Te'o just sneaks in to the first round as the Raven replacement for Ray Lewis. This is a massive drop off, but it's about their only choice. They are going to have to shell out the dough just to keep Flacco and Boldin which means they will have to replace Lewis through the draft. I think Te'o has tackling issues as well as a lack of speed which drop him to the bottom of the first. However, since the Ravens play a 3-4 defense, Te'o will have help manning the middle, so he won't be exposed as badly as he was in the National Championship game.

Other Options:
1. Matt Elam- He is one of the very good safeties in the draft and could help replace Ed Reed if he leaves.

2. John Jenkins- It's been three years and Terrance Cody is still not producing. It may be time for a new NT.

Follow me on Twitter @BrianSanchezDU
Like My Facebook page The Sports Report

No comments:

Post a Comment